-
Strategies for a discontinuous future.










Friday, August 08, 2008
 

Abnormal


Scott has a point, but I think that Facebook isn't exactly "normal" in terms of expectations, influence, or liquidity options, the secondary markets involved in what's "normal" aren't often made relatively open, the shares traded in them don't go at a >100% discount, and my guess (though the info is opaque) is they're not largely sold directly to private equity, etc...

Look. I think a very thin market in Facebook shares at a $15 bil valuation might be OK. But a larger, more open one at a $5b valuation kind of sends not a great signal. The signal is that Facebook might go straight to some kind of restructuring - which is really the point of the post.

Forget what's "normal" for a second - because there is no meaningful statistical "normal" in industries like venture. Just think about the strategic logic for a second.

Now, I'm not saying I'm "right" - the post is there for us to discuss what Facebook's options are.

-- umair // 8:17 AM //


Comments:
search




Public

Recent & upcoming sessions:

Supernova 2007 (video)

NMKForum



new




input
portfolio
contact

mail.
uhaque (dot) mba2003 (at) london (dot) edu

skype.
umair.haque

atom feed

technorati profile

blog archives